|An excerpt from The International Forecaster’s weekly publication.
June 23 2012: Forecasting the death throes of the global economic system is hardly cause for celebration, trillions in bailouts in the last five years, Fed members funneled trillions emergency Fed money into their own banks, effects of bubble unravelling the economy in earnest, cash strapped towns swindled by GE Capital.
Last week in these pages we forecasted: that a pro-bailout party would win the Greek election; that the socialists would take a majority in the French elections; that Spain would require a significantly larger bailout to prop its banking sector up; and that the Fed would likely extend Operation Twist as a way of keeping everything moving along sideways. Check, check, check, and check. In most areas of life, 4 for 4 is something to be happy about, but when forecasting during the death throes of the global economic system as we’ve known it, getting things right is hardly cause for celebration.
Here’s a prediction I’d like to see come true: the American public, finally realizing the extent of the depravity on Wall Street, will start to examine what really happened in the past five
years. Following the trail of trillions in bailouts and stimulus funny money to the same groups of banksters and treasurers who created the housing crisis in the first place, the public will see through to completion the criminal investigations and prosecutions of the criminals behind the subprime loan fiasco, the too-big-to-failouts, the mortgagegate scandal, the quadrillion dollar derivative black hole, and all the other frauds that have been pulled on the people of the US and the world in general over the past five years. After which, the path will be clear to the discovery of the deeper truth behind the economic charade: the rigging of the markets via the President’s Working Group on Financial Matters; the control of both political parties by the same banking factions; the funny money dollar propped up by nothing more than the promise of the labor (and taxes) of future generations. One can always dream…
By any reasonable standard we should already be well down the path to reaching that prediction. The latest outrage? A US Government Accountability Office audit showing how Fed board members funneled over $4 trillion in emergency Fed funding to their own banks and businesses at the height of the 2008 meltdown. The funds in question included near-zero interest rate loans as well as other financing, and went straight from the Fed’s coffers to the likes of JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and GE. The problem? JP Morgan’s CEO, Jamie Dimon, was on the board of directors of the New York Fed when the Fed decided to use JP Morgan as a clearinghouse for emergency funds, granting it access to some $391 billion including $29 billion for the acquisition of Bear Stearns. Goldman Sachs board member Stephen Friedman was the chairman of the NY Fed even as the Fed granted Goldman bank holding company status and access to cheap Fed loans. Yet another NY Fed board member, Jeffrey Immelt, was coincidentally the CEO of General Electric at the same time that the Fed provided GE with $16 billion in emergency fund financing. Can we spell conflict of interest? Evidently the Senate can, as evidenced by the Federal Reserve Independence Act, which seeks to ban employees of Fed-regulated companies from sitting on the Fed’s regional boards. All of this may sound hopeful, but given that this conflict of interest has been built into the Federal Reserve system since its inception 99 years ago, one wonders what’s taken the Senate so long to get around to “correcting” it. That’s a rhetorical question. Of course, no one will so much as lose their bonus over the whole affair because the public that should be outraged about this is busy with more important matters, like the NBA playoffs.
And so it is with so many of the scenes that have unfolded in Washington and on Wall Street since the Greenspan-spun housing bubble popped and the unraveling of the derivatives-fueled shadow economy began in earnest. The bankers help themselves to more and more of the trough on the taxpayers’ dime and the public allows it to happen. With each iteration the lies become more brazen: the threats of martial law if the bailout didn’t happen; the robosigning scandal; MF Global; the JP Morgan silver and gold futures manipulation; and now the conflict of interest scandal. The public, it seems, now fully recognizes that Congress intends to prosecute steroids in baseball much more aggressively than they will ever look into Wall Street malfeasance, and worse yet, they seem resigned to that fact. This is why it’s so difficult to predict that the public will rise up and begin to demand accountability; it’s difficult to imagine how much worse things have to get before people stand up to the bankers.
And yet, just because it’s not happening doesn’t mean it can’t happen. Witness what’s happening in Iceland. Earlier this month Iceland’s Supreme Court handed down a four-and-a-half year sentence to Jon Thorsteinn Jonsson and Ragnar Zophonias Gudjonsson, two former executives at Iceland’s Byr Savings Bank. In 2008, just before the bottom fell out of the Icelandic banking system, the pair used their positions to approve an 800 million kronur loan from Byr to Exeter Holdings ehf. That loan was used to buy out Jonsson and Gudjonsson’s shares in Byr, which were then put up for sale as collateral to guarantee the loan itself. Now the pair are preparing to spend the next half a decade behind bars.
And the Icelanders didn’t stop there. Earlier this week Olafur Thor Hauksson, the special prosecutor investigating the misdeeds of the Icelandic banking crisis, confirmed more arrests and raids. One of those scooped up was Jon Thorsteinn Oddleifsson, the former treasury boss of Landsbanki. Three others from Landsbanki were arrested, and raids and searches were conducted at MP Bank, Straumur (now ALMC), and even the central bank itself. All of these banks are under investigation and more arrests are expected.
Haven’t heard about Hauksson, or the Jonsson and Gudjonsson convictions, or the prosecutor’s office’s raid of the Icelandic central bank? Now why would that be, I wonder? It’s almost as if the media would prefer the public didn’t hear about the round-up, prosecution and conviction of once-powerful bankers, lest they get any ideas for their own political context. Imagine that.
Still, all hope is not lost for the beginning of the Great Banker Round-up of 2012. It seems a significant-but-underreported financial corruption case has just broken through to the mainstream. Is it MSNBC breaking the story? Bloomberg? The New York Times? Hardly. One of the “respectable” institutions across the pond, then? The Financial Times? The Economist? Nope. It’s Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone. He has an in-depth write up on USA v. Carollo, Goldberg and Grimm, a tale of three GE Capital employees who were just convicted for their part in a scheme that the big boys of Wall Street have been using to rip off towns and cities across America for the past decade. In short, the defendants (Dominick Carollo, Steven Goldberg and Peter Grimm) were convicted of rigging the bids for municipal bond auctions, engineering fake auctions where pre-arranged winners were allowed to see the other bids and adjust their offer accordingly. The three defendants in this case were just the tip of the iceberg, and several other banks were found to have taken part in the scam. What’s interesting is the way these three were caught: they discussed the bid rigging openly in phone calls that they knew were being recorded by their own companies. There comes a point when corruption is so endemic in a system that criminals forget that they can be prosecuted (let alone convicted) for crimes they are committing out in the open. It should surprise no one that Wall Street reached that point long ago. It should also surprise no one that it took a rock’n’roll music man to tell the American public about a case that the MSM business media wouldn’t touch with a ten-foot pole.
The moral of the story? Steal a hundred dollars from a cash till at a convenience store and you’ll be locked up for years, and well you should be. Swindle cash-strapped towns and cities by skimming untold billions off the top of the municipal bond auction market in coordinated bid-rigging with some of the biggest players in finance in a scam lasting over a decade, however, and three of the low-level participants might end up with a conviction and a few years behind bars…if they were dim-witted enough to engage in that bid-rigging openly in knowingly recorded phone calls. If this does not instill confidence in the inherent justice of the American “justice” system, you’re getting the idea. If it makes you question the priorities of the American public that 99.9% of the public has never even heard of the case, much less care about it (just ask the person behind you next time you’re waiting in line at the supermarket check-out if you don’t believe me), then perhaps you’re beginning to get the underlying point.
If it’s difficult for the public to even conceive of these crimes as crimes, perhaps it’s a result of the sheer grandiosity of the crimes in question. Stalin famously said “one death is a tragedy; one million is a statistic.” The same applies to fraud. Ripping off your friend is a crime. Ripping off thousands of towns and cities across the country to the tune of billions of dollars over the course of a decade is a “regrettable trading practice.” Is this likely to change in the near future? Are we likely to see the floodgates open and the prosecutions commence in earnest? A special counsel appointed to start raiding and searching the offices of the Fed? The CEOs of major banks placed under arrest? Assuming you require an answer at all, I will merely point you to the current Attorney General and the ongoing Fast and Furious scandal for an idea of just how committed the Department of “Justice” is to living up to its name.
And so Wall Street will continue along in its sprint to the finish line of the takedown of the American economy, crying foul over the Moody’s downgrading even as billion-dollar scandal after billion-dollar scandal continues to emerge. Economies around the globe will continue along in a similar vein, with similar tales of increasingly brazen abuse and corruption. The EU will continue its song and dance, trying to convince the world that the Spanish banks will “only” require another 50 to 80 billion Euros to meet capital shortfalls in a worst-case scenario (it’s actually over 100 billion). The Asian markets will tumble as the once-mighty Chinese economy begins its slowdown.
And underneath it all, behind the headlines and out of sight of a largely apathetic public, more schemes, scams, and frauds will be hatched, many in the plain light of day because this is how rampant the corruption is now.
And yet, in at least one tiny island nation way out in the North Atlantic, a special prosecutor is arresting bankers and raiding the central bank for clues to past financial crimes. We ignore that example at our own peril.